Date Title Alternative
2024-05-08 Heading towards easier comparables Download | Show Close
2024-04-04 Interestingly positioned Download | Show Close
2024-02-26 Strong finish to the year Show Close
Research | 26 Feb 2024 | BTS Group

Strong finish to the year

 

Ending the year with a record quarter

Net sales for the quarter came in at SEK768m, showing currency-adjusted growth of 6%. For the full year, net sales were SEK2,683m, in line with our estimate for the year. Adjusted for currency, this was growth of 2%. Q4 EBITA was SEK139m, suggesting a margin of 18.1%. EBITA for the full year came in at SEK346m, surpassing our estimate by around 8%. BTS thus ended the year with one of its best quarters ever. It guides for even stronger EBITA in 2024 than in 2023, stating that year has started well.

At a new margin level

As we expect the market to remain somewhat hesitant, we are conservative with our revenue estimates and leave them essentially unchanged. We believe the market remains challenging, despite the glimmers of light from the North America and Other markets. We stick to the growth we have modelled, awaiting further indications that the market is strengthening. Given the solid profitability in Q4, we lift our EBITDA estimate for the current year by 7%. In our view, BTS has, with its solid Q4 report, reached new levels of scalability and profitability. We maintain our 2025 sales forecast but calculate with a higher margin, which prompts us to raise our EBITDA estimate by 5%. We believe BTS still has an opportunity to strengthen its capacity utilisation, leading us to anticipate increasing margins for 2024–25.

 

2024 has the potential as a year of considerable momentum

We believe the market trough has now been reached and that we will see ongoing expansion during 2024. Based on this scenario, we lift our fair value to SEK380–400 (340–360). We believe the stellar end to 2023 will provide BTS with robust operational momentum, in particular for its performance in 2024–25. The company’s aim to continue growing by 4–6% without making larger changes to its cost base only bolsters this case.

 

2023-11-13 Implementing measures to strengthen profitability Show Close
2023-08-21 Growth below our year end estimate but solid profitability in the quarter Show Close
2023-06-21 Less conversation more action Show Close
2023-05-15 A challenging start to the year Show Close
2023-02-28 FX tailwind continued in the quarter Show Close
2022-11-14 FY guidance retained Show Close
2022-08-22 Beats every estimate and boosts forecasts Show Close
2022-05-17 Impressive growth Show Close
2022-04-13 Stronger than ever with a new CEO Show Close
2022-03-02 Stability in uncertain times Show Close
2021-08-19 Record quarter and improved outlook Show Close
2021-05-20 Strong profitability Show Close
2021-02-26 Resumed guidance provides upside potential in estimates Show Close
2020-08-19 Maintaining cost base in order to face pent up demand Show Close