Date Title Alternative
2024-04-12 Q1 production in line with last year's average Download | Show Close
2024-04-11 MOU for possible transaction regarding 3R Offshore holding Download | Show Close
2024-04-08 Updated reserve report Download | Show Close
2024-04-04 Several catalysts ahead Download | Show Close
2024-03-21 Joining 3R's board Download | Show Close
2024-03-19 Keeps on transforming Download | Show Close
Research | 19 Mar 2024 | Maha Energy

Keeps on transforming

 

EGM in 3R Petroleum the next step in transformation

Over the past year, Maha has continued to transform. Last year, it sold Maha Brazil, combined with DBO, purchased exclusivity to buy part of PetroUrdaneta with assets in Venezuela, and divested Block 70 in Oman, among others. In January 2024, it bought 5% of 3R Petroleum (3R) and has suggested a carveout of 3R’s offshore assets and a business combination with PetroReconcavo, another listed Brazilian company with onshore assets. An EGM has been called in 3R for the end of March to decrease the number of board members from seven to five and to elect Maha’s chair and one of its board members to 3R’s board. If accepted, this would leave Maha holding 40% of 3R’s board seats.

Production down in February, but significant increase ahead

Maha produced 1,652 boepd in February, which was down 30% from January owing to workovers in Papa Terra. 3R, of which Maha owns 5%, produced 42,709 boepd in February, which was down 10% on January. We anticipate significant pickup in the coming years as both Papa Terra and 3R Onshore ramp up production in 2025. There is also significant optionality in PetroUrdaneta’s Venezuelan assets. These are currently producing 1,600 bopd, but have potential production of 20,000 bopd.

 

Trading at around half its NAV with plenty of upside

Most of the earnings consist of share of income from investment in associate and interest payments, leaving uncertainty high, as visibility is low. NAVs are more stable, however. Current assets hold a NAV of around USD250m or ~SEK14.5 per share, which is about half the current share price and suggests a fair value range of SEK14–16. The current NAV includes the market value of the 3R holding. Should the suggested restructuring of the Brazilian E&P sector materialise and if we were to include the potential growth of 3R’s assets, we would see upside exceeding SEK23 per share, with even more given the inclusion of PetroUrdaneta.

 

2024-01-18 Acquires 5% of 3R Petroleum for USD 69m Download | Show Close
2024-01-09 Strong production in December Download | Show Close
2023-12-14 Transformation continues Download | Show Close
2023-11-17 Asset in Venezuela provides optionality Show Close
2023-08-09 Further production increases in July Show Close
2023-08-08 Update on Mafraq in Oman Show Close
2023-05-24 Completes the combination with BDO 2.0 Show Close
2023-05-24 Several upcoming catalysts Show Close
2023-01-31 Sale of Maha Brazil will result in cash larger than market cap Show Close
2022-12-02 Investigates potential divestments of assets Show Close
2022-11-20 Robust indicators that the Tie wells are onstream Show Close