Date Title Alternative
2024-05-13 Accelerating the transformation Download | Show Close
2024-05-02 Discontinuing Mobile Download | Show Close
2024-04-29 Rights issue of SEK310m Download | Show Close
2024-04-05 Further biometric card launches in the market Download | Show Close
2024-02-20 At the start of a transformational journey Show Close
Research | 20 Feb 2024 | Fingerprints

At the start of a transformational journey

 

The sales trend seems to have turned…

Given currency-adjusted growth of 10% both Y/Y and sequentially, the sales trend appears to have turned – a key factor. PC has been the main driving force, with 67% growth in Q4. Mobile also saw growth of 7%, while Access sales fell by 11%. Payment seems unable to get off the ground – sales in this segment were almost non-existent in Q4, in line with what we have seen in general in the market. PC accounted for 16% of sales in the quarter.

…but Mobile continues to weigh on gross margins

Although Mobile sales appear to have passed the trough, gross margins are not showing the same positive movement. Meanwhile, PC is growing profitably, with considerably higher gross margins. Access also reports much better margins. Fingerprints will selectively broaden its solutions to address a greater share of the value in the industry. One example is the recently launched comprehensive systems solution that incorporates Fingerprints’ microcontroller unit (MCU). Savings intended to halve operating costs are proceeding according to plan. The full effect will be achieved from H2(24).

 

Payments unable to get off the ground – removing the segment from our estimates

The transformation of Fingerprints continues. Capacitive sensors for mobile phone manufacturers have diminished from 90% of group sales in 2021 to less than three-quarters in 2023. We believe this trend will continue, with the company accelerating this shift. The transformation will be spurred by PC and Access, while Payments cannot seem to take off. Although we remain positive regarding the commercial breakthrough for biometric payment cards, the timing is unclear. We thus extract the segment from our estimates, meaning we cut our revenue estimates by 30–56%. We adjust for the new number of shares and assign a fair value of SEK2.9–3.6 per share (down from SEK4.8–5.0). The lower end of the range reflects zero value for Payments, while the upper end assumes a certain value. If biometric payment cards do achieve a breakthrough, we see upside in our valuation of more than SEK6 to almost SEK10 per share.

 

2024-02-06 Asus launches PC with Fingerprints's MoC solution Download | Show Close
2024-01-10 Better demand for mobile phones in China Download | Show Close
2023-10-20 Gross margin bottoms at low level Show Close
2023-08-10 IDEX's Q2 indicates ongoing acceleration for biometric card Show Close
2023-08-08 New partnerships indicate gearing up of business beyond Mobile Show Close
2023-07-21 Recovery in Mobile; further growth in PC Show Close